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Most surveyed Poles oppose the continuation of military aid to Ukraine.

Since the onset of the Russian invasion, Poland has provided military assistance to Ukraine amounting to €3.23 billion.
Большинство опрошенных поляков выступают против продолжения поставок оружия Украине.

More than half of Poles are against Poland continuing to supply Ukraine with weapons to fight the Russian occupier, according to a new survey. The poll conducted by the research company Opinia24 shows that the strongest opposition comes from a group of Poles who identify as voters of the anti-Ukrainian and anti-European party “Confederation”.

According to a new survey conducted by Opinia24 for Radio Zet, 53% of Poles believe that Poland should not provide Ukraine with more weapons to fight Russia. Among this group, 27% are strong opponents of rearming Ukraine, while 26% responded "probably not".

In contrast, 29% of respondents support the continuation of military assistance to Kyiv (9% fully support it, while 20% lean towards support). 17% of respondents did not provide a clear answer.

The largest group of opponents to supplying weapons to Ukrainians are supporters of the pro-Russian party “Confederation” (85%). Only 13% of those who declare support for the party wish to continue its backing. It is worth noting that the “Confederation” party is responsible for blocking the Polish-Ukrainian border, and its politicians have repeatedly made openly anti-Ukrainian statements.

Among voters of the Law and Justice party (PiS), 54% of those surveyed stated that Poland should not send weapons to Kyiv, while 34% expressed the opposite opinion.

Voters of the Civic Coalition are quite divided. 40% support the idea of helping Ukraine, while the same percentage opposes it.

Sociologists also highlighted the issue of supplying weapons to Ukraine in relation to candidates for the presidency of Poland. The highest percentage of respondents who approve of supplying weapons to Ukraine are among supporters of Rafał Trzaskowski, while the lowest are among Sławomir Mentzen's supporters. Breakdown by candidates:

  • Rafał Trzaskowski (GK) – 38% Yes, 42% No
  • Karol Nawrocki (PiS) – 37% Yes, 52% No
  • Sławomir Mentzen (“Confederation”) – 15% Yes, 83% No
  • Shimon Hołownia (TD) – 35% Yes, 40% No
  • The rest of the voters for the mentioned candidates answered: "Don't know/hard to say".

The highest percentage of respondents who approve of supplying weapons to Ukraine is among supporters of Rafał Trzaskowski (38%). Slightly fewer are those who declare they will vote for Karol Nawrocki (37%). 35% of those wishing to vote for Shimon Hołownia would like Poland to continue rearming Kyiv. 15% of Sławomir Mentzen's supporters from the “Confederation” also favor this idea.

Among those opposing military support in the form of military equipment, the majority are voters from the “Confederation” (83%). More than half of Karol Nawrocki's supporters (52%) also oppose this idea. Additionally, 42% of Rafał Trzaskowski's voters and 40% of Shimon Hołownia's voters do not support the idea.
The survey was conducted from January 23 to 29 through interviews, with 1,000 respondents aged 18 and older participating.

Earlier, Opinia24 published the results of a survey indicating that 22% of respondents support sending Polish army units to participate in a possible stabilization mission in Ukraine, while 63% oppose this step.

It is worth noting that in November 2024, President Andrzej Duda announced that Poland had provided military assistance to Ukraine amounting to €3.23 billion. Specifically, Poland has delivered the largest amount of heavy equipment among all allies – a total of about a thousand units (tanks, armored personnel carriers).

On Wednesday, Politico reported on the EU's plans to organize a military aid package for Ukraine totaling at least €6 billion. Two anonymous diplomats cited by the publication claim that this amount is just a starting point. In reality, the support amount could increase to €10 billion. As part of this package, Ukraine will receive, among other things, about 1.5 million artillery shells or air defense systems.

If the plan is implemented, it will be one of the largest aid packages provided to Ukraine by the European Union since the beginning of Russia's full-scale invasion of the country. Politico predicts that this could be announced before the visit of EU commissioners to Kyiv, scheduled for February 24 – the anniversary of the start of the war.

Diplomats report that EU member states will be able to support the package with military equipment or by directly donating money. Their financial contribution will be proportional to the gross national income, noted one of the publication's sources.